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Author Re: Apple Flops: iPhone will flop like Mac Mini, Cube, Newton, etc, etc
Mitch

2007-06-30, 10:33 pm

In article <1183251120.132077.198560@w5g2000hsg.googlegroups.com>,
<asjbiotek@gmail.com> wrote:

> The apple stores are selling ok (but hardly in great numbers, at least
> here in jersey), but not the AT&T stores, and guess what? there's hell
> lot more AT&T stores than apple stores...

Sure, but you know they didn't ship the same number to all of the
stores, right? Apple Stores got more than each of the AT&T stores did.
If there are ten times as many AT&T stores, but they get one-tenth of
the units at each, and everyone sells out, then each side did half the
sales.

> The projection was actually 200,000 in the first 2 days or so...now
> i'm not so sure they can make that given the short lines in areas
> other than NY or some west coast cities. Probably if they count online
> sales as part of that, but then again you can't count that unless
> they're shipped.

Obviously, they'll count online sales -- there's no reason not to. And
probably, they have a lot that they didn't yet ship out. But I don't
know if Apple made arrangements for large numbers of outgoing units
during Friday and Saturday, let alone Sunday, so that first figure
could still end up close to the retail shipments.

> Btw, analysts are saying all kinds of things...the projection for the
> first 2 days or so is a low of 50K units to a high of 200k units.

Yeah, 'analysts' are making what are called 'gross estimates.' They
have no figures, and are using anecdotal data to inform a rough
estimation.
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